我国台湾地区儿童福利问题研究

儿童是社会的未来，是民族的希望。儿童福利是社会福利的重要组成部分，在经济高速发展的当今社会，福利体系的建设中儿童福利的发展与完善显得尤为迫切。笔者通过对儿童福利事业发展较为先进的台湾地区进行研究，从法律和政策、行政体系、发展趋势等几个方面进行剖析，最终分析台湾地区儿童福利发展对我国相关问题上的启发，以期对我国儿童福利体系建设起到积极作用。     

城市功能拓展区域文化产业园发展路径研究

城市功能拓展区既缺少核心区集聚的文化资源优势,又缺少郊区低廉的发展成本优势,但在着力发展文化创意产业的过程中,却可以通过整合文化产业园区资源,形成独特的发展优势.本文运用商业生态学理论,分析城市功能拓展区内文化产业园区发展的“三元”联动主体,构建园区资源整合的双重主体理论,并提出文化产业园区确定主导产业并吸引核心企业以“聚核”、拓展纵向产业链和横向服务链以“聚链”、打造公共平台并进行功能体系建设以“聚网”的“三聚”持续发展路径.     

Stakeholder perceptions and governance challenges in urban protected area management: The case of the Las Piñas – Parañaque Critical Habitat and Ecotourism Area,Philippines

The conservation and management of protected areas in urban settings has become increasingly challenging with dynamics over land use change in adjacent urban areas being highly relevant to, but at times conflicting with, the protected area. This study seeks to better understand the implications of land use change processes to urban protected area management through the case study of the Las Piñas – Parañaque Critical Habitat and Ecotourism Area (LPPCHEA) in Metro Manila, Philippines. Factors and processes influencing land use change and protected area management and the impact of stakeholders’ perceptions on protected area were analyzed. The urban protected area in itself has limited influence on its surrounding urban areas, as land use change in these areas is shaped more by social, economic and policy/institutional factors occurring within the context of urban-regional development. The study also found that land use conflict is evident in an urban protected area due to the competing ecosystem services derived by various stakeholders. This discord is deepened by the lack of coordination between land use planning and protected area management. Integrating protected area management with land use planning through legally binding instruments, specific timeframes and clear internal procedures can help resolve land use conflict for an urban protected area at the strategic or policy level.     

A LITERATURE SURVEY ON PROPOSED AFRICAN MONETARY UNIONS

This study provides a survey of recent advances in the literature on proposed African monetary unions. The survey comprises about 70 empirical papers published during the past 15 years. Four main strands are discussed individually and collectively. They comprise the proposed: (i) West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ), (ii) East African Monetary Union (EAMU), (iii) Southern African Monetary Union (SAMU) and (iv) African Monetary Union (AMU). We observe a number of issues with establishing the feasibility and/or desirability of potential monetary unions, inter alia, they are variations in: choice of variables, empirical strategies, sampled countries and considered periodicities. We address this ambiguity by reviewing studies with scenarios that are consistent with Hegelian dialectics and establish selective expansion as the predominant mode of monetary integration. Some proponents make cases for strong pegs and institutions as viable alternatives to currency unions. Using cluster analysis, disaggregating panels into sub-samples and distinguishing shocks from responses in the examination of business cycle synchronisation provide more subtle policy implications. We caution that for inquiries using the same theoretical underpinnings, variables and methods just by modifying the scope/context and periodicity may only contribute to increasing the number of conflicting findings. Authors should place more emphasis on new perspectives and approaches based on caveats of, and lessons from the European Monetary Union (EMU) and CFA zones.     

Anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area: Recent evidence based on survey data

This article analyses the anchoring of inflation expectations of professional forecasters and consumers in the euro area. We study anchoring, defined as the central bank's ability to manage expectations, by paying special attention to the impact of the ECB inflation target and ECB inflation projections on inflation expectations. Our analysis indicates that in the post-crisis period longer-term inflation expectations have become somewhat more sensitive to shorter-term ones and to actual HICP inflation. We also find that the ECB inflation projections have recently become more important for short- and medium-term expectations of professional forecasters and at the same time the role of the ECB inflation target for those expectations has diminished. Overall, our analysis suggests that in recent years inflation expectations in the euro area have shown some signs of de-anchoring.     

新时期秦巴地区发展电子商务物流现状分析及对策研究

近年来,电子商务发展迅速,但由于历史原因,秦巴地区由于各方面条件欠缺,电子商务物流发展缓慢.因此,我们必须根据实际,找准问题,推动秦巴地区电子商务物流跨越式发展.     

现代林业运营绩效评估研究——以新疆为例

论述新疆现代林业运营现状,建立现代林业运营绩效评估体系,应用ANP方法确定评估指标的局部优势度与全局优势度,构建现代林业运营绩效评估模型,科学测度2005~2014年新疆现代林业运营绩效,结果表明:新疆现代林业运营整体绩效呈现上升趋势,但整体水平薄弱;新疆干旱区营林生产、林产加工绩效弱化且波动显著,林业生态与服务、林业发展贡献绩效持续优化;森林病虫害防治低下、林业生态建设用水投入量减少、家具制造业优势不足、传统林业产业项目路径锁定等是制约新疆现代林业运营绩效的关键因素。为切实提升新疆现代林业运营绩效,提出建立森林病虫害生态防治机制、确保林业用水安全、提升家具等木材精深加工产业的技术增值能力、加快推进林产加工业结构调整、持续挖掘林业旅游与特色林果业的发展潜能等建议。     

广东万绿湖生态旅游集聚区旅游新业态发展研究

生态旅游产业集聚区是旅游产业转型的一种创新型产业形态,有利于实现旅游产业规模经济效应,丰富区域旅游品牌,促进地方旅游经济的发展。广东省河源市拥有良好的生态旅游区景色及国家一级地表饮用水源,是具有较强的旅游吸引力的地接型城市,作为广东水源保护地,生态屏障区,应从循环经济、可持续发展、生态学角度,构建生态旅游集聚区经济模式,并采取切实措施,使生态旅游与环境保护平衡发展。     

社区居民对都市近郊乡村旅游影响的感知与态度的实证研究——以成都花香果居景区为例

近年来,对乡村旅游的研究日益升温,但鲜有学者从居民感知的角度对都市近郊乡村旅游影响进行研究。文章以成都近郊的乡村旅游地花香果居景区为例进行实证研究,通过发放问卷、入户调查等方式将居民对旅游的经济、环境、社会文化及总体影响等4个方面的感知进行均值分析,发现在上述4个方面的正面感知均强于负面感知;通过相关性分析,了解不同社会人口特征与旅游影响感知的相关性。研究发现,花香果居景区居民对旅游积极影响感知强于负面影响,社区归属感越强的居民对旅游发展呈越积极的态度,而学历越高的居民对旅游负面影响感知更为敏感。在研究结论的基础上并提出花香果居乡村旅游发展的若干建议。     

A measure of regional influence with the analytic network process

The metropolitan region is commonly defined by a socio-spatial network of urban nodes that are linked in territory and function. Such a network is differentiated by size and dominance of the linked nodes, characterized by physical or virtual flows of a wide-ranging variety. The analytic network process (ANP) is a multi-criteria analytic method that measures the influence or dominance of the nodes in a network with feedback. We illustrate how ANP determines county rank as a measure of influence in a metropolitan statistical area (MSA) defined by its interrelated socio-economic and spatial elements qualitatively and quantitatively. We compare the ANP results to similar measures of regional influence in the literature.